[pct-l] May 1 Sierra Snow status update

[reynolds at iLAN.com (Reynolds, WT)]

If you want to skip all the technical stuff, the news ain't good. Long wait,
crampons or flip-flop
 
My prediction before April 1 was that there would be 38.63 inches on the UTY
snow pillar near Forrester. In fact there is 39.60. The early forcasts of
peak days [the day with the most volume of water] shows the Kern at 6/7,
Kings at 6/4 and San Joaquin at 6/7, all two-three weeks later than normal
but not as bad as 1998. Further, the forecast for the next week is for
cooler than normal weather and possible precipitation indicating that a late
May melt or even a late storn may be in the offing. In any event an early
May melt, like 1997 is very unlikely. The prediction for the "Zero Snow Day
on UTY" is now July 12, about 4 weeks later than normal.
 
The historical pattern indicates that the snow will be light next year and
ADZPCTKO should be moved forward a bit.
 
Tom