[pct-l] Precipitation forecast for '03?

[brick@fastpack.com (Brick Robbins)]

At 09:51 AM 10/29/02, Whyte, Jesse wrote:
>I realize it's very early, but does anybody along the Crest have any
>precipitation forecasts for this winter that could give us an idea as to
>what the trail will look like next April?  I'd like to go North-to-South,
>but a lot just depends on the weather...

El Nino is brewing.

Looks like a good southbound year. Dry in the north, wet in the sough

Here is what NOAA says:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/

=3D=3D=3D
Over the United States and Canada we expect:
1) drier-than-average conditions in the Pacific Northwest and mid-Atlantic
states during fall 2002 and in the Ohio Valley states and northern Rockies
during winter 2002-2003,
2) wetter- than-average conditions along much of the southern tier of the
U.S. during winter 2002-2003, and
3) warmer-than-average conditions in the northern tier states, southern and
southeastern Alaska, and western and central Canada during late fall 2002
and winter 2002-2003.

Furthermore, based on the latest predictions and an assessment of current
oceanic and atmospheric conditions, we expect that this event will be
substantially weaker than the 1997-98 El Ni=F1o. Thus, the global impacts
should generally be weaker than those observed during 1997-98. However,
strong impacts are still possible in a few locations.
=3D=3D=3D=3D=3D
--
Brick Robbins                       mailto:brick@fastpack.com