[pct-l] The Herd is a FACT...

[Gary Wright]

On Mar 14, 2007, at 6:15 PM, Slyatpct at aol.com wrote:
>  Regardless 90% will be starting within a month of each other two  
> weeks around the kick-off.

A statement like that neither supports nor contradicts the notion that
the kickoff compresses start dates.  The question isn't whether the
typical start date occurs around the kickoff date, the question is how
are hikers distributed around that start date (i.e., what is the
standard deviation?) and has the kickoff changed that distribution or
not?

The smaller the deviation, the higher the peak.  Personally I find it
hard to believe that an event that has 'Kickoff' in its title could
*not* compress the distribution.

I suppose you could do the math, but the probability of 15% of hikers
(45 out of 300) randomly choosing the same exact day to start seems  
remote.
Any statistician out there?


Gary Wright (Radar)